Tag Archives | Public Perceptions

Predictive Algorithms and Perceptions of Fairness: Parent Attitudes Toward Algorithmic Resource Allocation in K-12 Education

Rebecca A. Johnson, Simone Zhang

Sociological Science May 16, 2025
10.15195/v12.a15


As institutions increasingly use predictive algorithms to allocate scarce resources, scholars have warned that these algorithms may legitimize inequality. Although research has examined how elite discourses position algorithms as fair, we know less about how the public perceives them compared to traditional allocation methods. We implement a vignette-based survey experiment to measure perceptions of algorithmic allocation relative to common alternatives: administrative rules, lotteries, petitions from potential beneficiaries, and professional judgment. Focusing on the case of schools allocating scarce tutoring resources, our nationally representative survey of U.S. parents finds that parents view algorithms as fairer than traditional alternatives, especially lotteries. However, significant divides emerge along socioeconomic and political lines—lower socioeconomic status (SES) and conservative parents favor the personal knowledge held by counselors and parents, whereas higher SES and liberal parents prefer the impersonal logic of algorithms. We also find that, after reading about algorithmic bias, parental opposition to algorithms is strongest among those who are most directly disadvantaged. Overall, our findings map cleavages in attitudes that may influence the adoption and political sustainability of algorithmic allocation methods.
Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Rebecca A. Johnson: Equal first authorship. McCourt School of Public Policy (affiliate:Department of Sociology), Georgetown University
E-mail: rj545@georgetown.edu

Simone Zhang: Equal first authorship. Department of Sociology, New York University
E-mail: simone.zhang@nyu.edu

Acknowledgments: Thanks to the following students for excellent research assistance—Collin Crane, Liz Moison, MorganWelch, and Rosy Zhong—and to Leah Jones, Katherine Christie, and Tyler Simko for related collaborations/discussions. We are also grateful for feedback from the following audiences: Sociology of Education Association annual meeting; Georgetown McCourt School of Public Policy seminar series; Georgetown Sociology colloquium; the Notre Dame Center for Research on Educational Opportunity; APPAM and Sean Reardon as a discussant; Lydia Liu’s AI, Society, and Education Seminar at Princeton University; and James Druckman and anonymous reviewers via the TESS process. This research received funding from the Dartmouth Neukom Institute for Computational Science, the NSF TESS Young Investigators Special Competition (NSF Grant 0818839; Jeremy Freese and James Druckman, Principal Investigators), and the Spencer/NAEd Postdoctoral Fellowship.

Supplemental Materials

Reproducibility Package: The data underlying this article are available as part of our replication materials available at this link: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/EUJ1YZ. The data for the main analyses is the TESS .tab format file at this link: https://dataverse.harvard.edu/file.xhtml?fileId=10796997&version=1.0

  • Citation: Johnson, A. Rebecca, Simone Zhang. 2025. “Predictive Algorithms and Perceptions of Fairness: Parent Attitudes Toward Algorithmic Resource Allocation in K-12 Education” Sociological Science 12: 322-356.
  • Received: November 12, 2024
  • Accepted: January 24, 2025
  • Editors: Ari Adut, Filiz Garip
  • DOI: 10.15195/v12.a15

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