Declining Inequality and Persistent Inequality Structures

Soohyun Roh, Nathan Wilmers

Sociological Science June 10, 2026
10.15195/v13.a24


Prior research finds that rising labor market inequality in the United States was abetted by structural changes in the economy: a consolidation of occupation and organizational bases of advantage; rising within-job inequality; and declining pay and employment in middle-earning jobs. In this article, we revisit these structural changes by asking whether they have been reversed as labor market inequality fell over the last decade. Drawing on restricted-use microdata from the Occupational Employment and Wages Statistics, we find that declining inequality is due to declining inequality in occupation premiums. There has been only a small reversal of consolidation and no decrease in inequality within jobs. Low-wage jobs gained on shrinking middle-earning occupations, further eroding union, manufacturing, and public sector wage premiums. These findings demonstrate a novel configuration of labor market inequality, in which pay rose in low-wage jobs, but underlying inequality structures in the economy persisted.

Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.


Soohyun Roh: Sloan School of Management, MIT
E-mail: rohs@mit.edu.

Nathan Wilmers: Sloan School of Management, MIT
E-mail: wilmers@mit.edu.

Acknowledgments: Thank you for very helpful comments from the MIT Applied Microeconomics Seminar, University of Maryland Strategy Seminar, NYU Sociology Colloquium, Columbia Center for Wealth and Inequality Seminar, Russell Sage Foundation Visiting Scholar Seminar, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management Seminar, and Stockholm University Department of Economics Seminar. This research was conducted with restricted access to Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data. The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of the BLS or the US government. This research was funded by MIT Sloan. Please direct correspondence to wilmers@mit.edu.


Supplemental Materials

Reproducibility Package: Full replication code is available at https://osf.io/8tbwh. In June 2025, the BLS suspended researcher access to its restricted data. As such, data for the bulk of this analysis are no longer accessible for replication (or to Roh and Wilmers). If the BLS restarts its data access program, then data will be accessible through the application as a visiting researcher.


  • Citation: Roh, Soohyun, Nathan Wilmers. 2026. “Declining Inequality and Persistent Inequality Structures” Sociological Science 13: 614-644.
  • Received: October 16, 2025
  • Accepted: February 26, 2026
  • Editors: Arnout van de Rijt, Cristobal Young
  • DOI: 10.15195/v13.a24


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